Welcome back! In part 1, I described some common tricks the pundits use to make their predictions appear accurate after the fact. I won’t be using any of those tricks for my predictions. There are two reasons for this. First, I don’t have an army of pundits backing me up. The self-reinforcing nature of pundits accounts for over half of the perception that they are all geniuses. Second, I am a humorist on the internet. Sometimes people laugh at the things I write. Playing the fool is an honored tradition. Besides, when I am wrong I will get to write a post berating myself, and that’s considered “easy content” in the blogging world. Continue reading →

Predictions. Prognostications. Fortune-telling. Prophecy. Whatever you want to call it, a significant number of people from commentators to commoners and bartenders to bookies want to know what the future holds. Nobody wants this more than the pundit class. Continue reading →